AXT Inc (AXTI) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$60.88 -5.44% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

AXT Inc (AXTI) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.99B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (9)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$150 Bull$62 Base$48 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:49% Call Buyers ($2.2M)
51% PutsMax Pain: $60.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
49% Calls / 51% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 1.03x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$60.00
-1.45% vs. current $60.88 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±8.3%
Expected event band around $60.88

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AXTI)

$50
5,524C / 13,373P
$55
5,524C / 13,373P
$60
12,918C / 13,373P
$65
12,918C / 5,780P
$70
12,918C / 5,780P
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading AXTI & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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AXTI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.50%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $57.28H $58.84L $50.96C $55.06VOL 14.73M
RES: $83.51SUP: $49.84SMA50: $66.26SMA200: $64.86
$151.7$116.3$80.88$45.47$10.06RES $83.51SUP $49.84$55.062026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AXTI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -11.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AXTI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AXTI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AXTI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

AXTI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AXTI's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in AXTI show 49% bullish call premium versus 51% put premium, centered near a $60 max-pain strike.