Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps
$345.00 -1.94% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot
Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) receives a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (67/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+182.1% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $1.56T
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+12.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:71% Call Buyers ($10.5M)
29% PutsMax Pain: $350.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
71% Calls / 29% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.76x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$350.00
+1.45% vs. current $345.00 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±9%
Expected event band around $345.00
Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AVGO)
$300
0C / 1,467P
$315
1,246C / 0P
$317.5
646C / 0P
$320
1,857C / 0P
$325
2,295C / 0P
$337.5
2,835C / 0P
Wide-Open Unusual Whale Options Sweep Tape (AVGO)
| Contract / Exp | Type | Strike | Vol / OI | $ Premium | IV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVGO261106C00337500EXP 2026-11-06 | CALL | $338 | 6x | $893.0K | 45.1% |
| AVGO261102C00330000EXP 2026-11-02 | CALL | $330 | 20.2x | $686.2K | 34.7% |
| AVGO261102C00327500EXP 2026-11-02 | CALL | $328 | 110.4x | $751.1K | 35.1% |
| AVGO261120C00320000EXP 2026-11-20 | CALL | $320 | 2.2x | $3.3M | 46.2% |
| AVGO261102C00325000EXP 2026-11-02 | CALL | $325 | 18x | $719.4K | 36.1% |
| AVGO261204P00300000EXP 2026-12-04 | PUT | $300 | 5x | $608.1K | 45.8% |
| AVGO261204C00325000EXP 2026-12-04 | CALL | $325 | 17x | $1.3M | 42.9% |
| AVGO261106C00315000EXP 2026-11-06 | CALL | $315 | 8.4x | $854.6K | 50% |
| AVGO261106C00317500EXP 2026-11-06 | CALL | $318 | 2.9x | $879.9K | 50.2% |
| AVGO290119P00300000EXP 2029-01-19 | PUT | $300 | 1.9x | $3.7M | 45.5% |
| AVGO261120C00315000EXP 2026-11-20 | CALL | $315 | 3.4x | $1.2M | 45.6% |
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AVGO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.60%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $324.5H $352.4L $319.3C $326.1VOL 120.45M
RES: $361.4SUP: $324.6SMA50: $352.8SMA200: $367.7
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
AVGO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
+ 1.57% YoY Shares
SEC XBRL FY2024 → FY2025: Active share-count expansion (monitor SBC & convertibles).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
30.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +48.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
DEVELOPING · Custom ASIC Base Flag Continuation
Trigger: $335.21 • Invalidation: $308.47
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
AVGO → GOOGL Confirmed Filing
Broadcom co-engineers custom AI XPU/TPU silicon IP, SerDes high-speed interconnects, and CoWoS packaging logistics enabling Alphabet to scale internal Gemini training and Search AI inference.
TSM → AVGO Confirmed Filing
Broadcom explicitly discloses in its Form 10-K that TSMC manufactures substantially all of its leading-edge Tomahawk/Jericho Ethernet switches and custom hyperscale AI XPU wafers.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
💡 The Second-Order AI Bottleneck: Hyperscaler CapEx Is Shifting Pricing Power to Custom Networking, Switchgear & Baseload IPPs (mara-quenwick)
💡 What Changed Our Mind: High-Speed 800G AI Ethernet Caught Up Faster Than Our Initial Model Assumed (mara-quenwick)
🎬 Curated Video: Pricing Semiconductor Earnings Implied Moves & Post-Event IV Crush Risk (Yahoo Finance) →
AVGO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhat is AVGO's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?
Unusual options sweeps in AVGO show 71% bullish call premium versus 29% put premium, centered near a $350 max-pain strike.