AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$43.07 +1.82% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $16.76B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B+
Cash (6)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$141 Bull$43 Base$34 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:61% Call Buyers ($2.8M)
39% PutsMax Pain: $42.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How ASTS Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$4.00BGross Profit $0 (0%)Cost of Sales $4.00BOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $0Net Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $4.00B
FY24
Rev $13.8M
FY25
Rev $4.00B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$4.00B0%-10.1%-$341.9M-$1.14B-14.1%
FY 2024$13.8M44%-2561.3%-$300.1M-$300.3M-45%
FY 2023$4.00B0%-2.6%-$87.6M-$148.9M-1.5%
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Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring ASTS)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of ASTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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ASTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -44.56%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $41.07H $42.36L $39.21C $40.97VOL 13.68M
RES: $58.77SUP: $34.16SMA50: $55.02SMA200: $77.50
$140.7$112.5$84.32$56.15$27.98RES $58.77SUP $34.16$40.972026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
22.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASTS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

ASTS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ASTS converted $4.0B of revenue into a 0% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).