Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$19.12 +3.18% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $13.81B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B+
Cash (7)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$23 Bull$19 Base$15 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:64% Call Buyers ($2.9M)
36% PutsMax Pain: $19.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
64% Calls / 36% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.57x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$19.00
-0.63% vs. current $19.12 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±6.7%
Expected event band around $19.12

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ARCC)

$15
7,215C / 9,440P
$17.5
7,215C / 9,440P
$20
16,873C / 9,440P
$22.5
16,873C / 4,080P
$25
16,873C / 4,080P
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading ARCC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

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ARCC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.26%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $19.19H $19.20L $18.98C $19.11VOL 5.14M
RES: $20.85SUP: $18.35SMA50: $19.22SMA200: $19.02
$20.47$19.72$18.98$18.23$17.49RES $20.85SUP $18.35$19.112026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARCC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
0.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARCC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARCC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARCC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

ARCC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ARCC's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in ARCC show 64% bullish call premium versus 36% put premium, centered near a $19 max-pain strike.