AppFolio Inc. (APPF) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$207.05 +1.00% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

AppFolio Inc. (APPF) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (62% profit margin, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support. Even if the broader market gets choppy, the company’s underlying cash engine and big-money support put the odds in buyers’ favor.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $7.34B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510070
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B
Cash (18)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$278 Bull$218 Base$170 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:57% Call Buyers ($2.6M)
43% PutsMax Pain: $203.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
57% Calls / 43% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.76x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$203.00
-1.96% vs. current $207.05 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±7.7%
Expected event band around $207.05

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (APPF)

$190
6,425C / 11,276P
$200
6,425C / 11,276P
$210
15,027C / 11,276P
$220
15,027C / 4,873P
$230
15,027C / 4,873P
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading APPF & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

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APPF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +27.63%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-10-30O $210.2H $213.6L $208.0C $213.3VOL 245.7K
RES: $225.9SUP: $199.6SMA50: $212.2SMA200: $183.4
$243.2$215.9$188.6$161.4$134.1RES $225.9SUP $199.6$213.32026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

APPF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
37.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on APPF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for APPF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for APPF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

APPF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is APPF's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in APPF show 57% bullish call premium versus 43% put premium, centered near a $203 max-pain strike.