Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$243.79 -4.25% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.59T
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C
Cash (9)Whales (17)SEC (16)Macro (9)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+18% Base Target
$311 Bull$288 Base$259 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:91% Call Buyers ($51.5M)
9% PutsMax Pain: $250.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2026 (10-K)

How AMZN Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$362.95BGross Profit $188.73B (52%)Cost of Sales $174.22BOp Profit $98.14B (27%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $90.59BNet Profit$134.78B (37.1%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY22
Rev $362.95B
FY23
Rev $362.95B
FY24
Rev $362.95B
FY25
Rev $362.95B
FY26
Rev $362.95B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2026$362.95B52%27%$134.78B-$46.89B17.6%
FY 2025$362.95B52%27%$76.48B$10.56B17.6%
FY 2024$362.95B52%27%$49.87B$42.95B17.6%
FY 2023$362.95B52%27%$20.08B$16.92B17.6%
FY 2022$362.95B52%27%$11.32B-$26.32B17.6%
FY 2021$362.95B52%27%$26.26B-$2.27B17.6%
SEC 10-K YEAR-OVER-YEAR FINE-PRINT DIFF SCANNERRisk Trajectory: ESCALATING

Amazon's FY2025 Form 10-K (accession 0001018724-26-000004) embeds critical cautionary language signaling escalating margin dilution and execution risks directly tied to aggressive artificial intelligence and automation capital commitments. Management notably expanded risk disclosures around AI-driven price competition, failure to recoup massive AI/automation infrastructure investments, and added defensive legal posturing regarding forward-looking risk beliefs. These targeted modifications reflect heightened exposure to datacenter capex cycle monetization delays and intensified competitive pressure across both AWS and retail operations.

AI & AUTOMATION ROI RECOUPMENT (CRITICAL)

Management specifically carves out artificial intelligence, machine learning, and internal automation capex as high-risk write-down territory. This language provides legal cover for potential failure to achieve target return on invested capital (ROIC) on multi-billion-dollar custom silicon and datacenter deployments, raising the probability of margin compression or future asset impairments.

AI-DRIVEN E-COMMERCE COMPETITION & COMPARISON SHOPPING (MEDIUM)

Amazon explicitly identifies AI tools as a threat vector eroding its traditional search-and-discovery e-commerce moat. Generative comparison engines and autonomous purchasing agents reduce consumer lock-in, forcing Amazon into defensive ad pricing adjustments and higher merchant acquisition spend.

LITIGATION SHIELD EXPANSION & SUBJECTIVE RISK STATEMENTS (LOW)

Legal counsel inserted a subjective disclaimer qualifying risk factor disclosures as corporate 'beliefs and opinions.' This phrasing is intentionally deployed to defend against shareholder class actions under Section 11 and Rule 10b-5 by framing material risk statements as non-actionable opinion rather than verifiable representations of operational fact.

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AMZN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.40%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $249.5H $255.4L $229.4C $240.4VOL 292.10M
RES: $295.2SUP: $253.7SMA50: $254.3SMA200: $243.4
$291.5$273.6$255.8$237.9$220.0RES $295.2SUP $253.7$240.42026-05-012026-06-122026-07-312026-09-112026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMZN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
+ 1.16% YoY Shares

SEC XBRL FY2025 → FY2026: Active share-count expansion (monitor SBC & convertibles).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
12.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMZN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →
AMZN → ETN Analyst Hypothesis
AWS multi-gigawatt data-center campus buildouts require utility step-down transformers, medium-voltage switchgear, and uninterruptible power systems where Eaton holds multi-year North American backlog.

AMZN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)?

In FY 2026 (10-K), AMZN converted $362.9B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 27% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).