Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$421.66 +1.36% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $334.63B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (16)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$777 Bull$441 Base$344 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:53% Call Buyers ($32.2M)
47% PutsMax Pain: $413.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
53% Calls / 47% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.87x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$413.00
-2.05% vs. current $421.66 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±7.9%
Expected event band around $421.66

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AMAT)

$400
5,975C / 12,324P
$410
5,975C / 12,324P
$420
13,973C / 12,324P
$430
13,973C / 5,327P
$440
13,973C / 5,327P
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading AMAT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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AMAT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.12%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $396.8H $405.2L $382.6C $390.1VOL 10.28M
RES: $537.8SUP: $367.6SMA50: $457.7SMA200: $444.5
$772.7$636.0$499.3$362.6$226.0RES $537.8SUP $367.6$390.12026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMAT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
35.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMAT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →
AMAT → TSM Confirmed Filing
Applied Materials supplies epitaxial deposition, PVD/CVD, CMP planarization, and backside power delivery tools as TSMC transitions from FinFET (N3) to Gate-All-Around nanosheet (N2).

AMAT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AMAT's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in AMAT show 53% bullish call premium versus 47% put premium, centered near a $413 max-pain strike.