ADT Inc. (ADT) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$9.87 +33.20% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

ADT Inc. (ADT) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $7.21B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (10)Whales (11)SEC (16)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$12 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:72% Call Buyers ($3.3M)
28% PutsMax Pain: $10.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How ADT Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$1.71B (33.3% FCF Margin)
Revenue$5.13BGross Profit $2.26B (44%)Cost of Sales $2.87BOp Profit $1.31B (25.5%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $947.7MNet Profit$596.0M (11.6%)Tax/Other $713.0M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $4.65B
FY24
Rev $4.90B
FY25
Rev $5.13B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$5.13B44%25.5%$596.0M$1.71B9.3%
FY 2024$4.90B44%24.7%$501.1M$1.72B8.5%
FY 2023$4.65B44%25.3%$463.0M$1.45B27.6%
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring ADT)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of ADT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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ADT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +30.94%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $9.87H $9.88L $9.85C $9.86VOL 53.90M
RES: $10.01SUP: $5.28SMA50: $6.97SMA200: $7.08
$10.27$9.12$7.97$6.82$5.67RES $10.01SUP $5.28$9.862026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ADT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
2.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

ADT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is ADT Inc. (ADT)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ADT converted $5.1B of revenue into a 44% gross margin, 25.5% operating margin, and $1.7B in free cash flow (33.3% FCF margin).