Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$130.35 +0.42% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) receives a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (66/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+235.3% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $22.06B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510066
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$177 Bull$135 Base$105 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:54% Call Buyers ($2.4M)
46% PutsMax Pain: $128.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
62.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.72>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE34% OF RANGE
L: $111$130.35H: $169
1. Money & Cash Health● RED FLAG
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Warning: Paper profits outpaced real cash collected while unpaid invoices rose—classic earnings quality red flag.

Factor Grade: DRQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Our SEC fine-print scanner flagged elevated accounting or executive-hedging risk combined with interest-rate headwinds.

Factor Grade: DRQD 32 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on STZ

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

12.0% ROIC with 51.6% gross margin and 8.13% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (36)

Flagged cash-conversion divergence or elevated filing risk disclosures.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (63)

Put/Call 0.84x with 22/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like STZ
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Headline earnings grew much faster than real operating cash flow—watch out for profit revisions.
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring STZ)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of STZ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
STZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.57%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $132.4H $135.4L $132.0C $135.3VOL 3.42M
RES: $140.0SUP: $105.1SMA50: $125.4SMA200: $141.8
$161.0$147.4$133.7$120.0$106.4RES $140.0SUP $105.1$135.32026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
4.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STZ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

STZ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell STZ stock right now?

Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. Accounting Warning: Paper earnings outpaced operating cash flow (+235.3% (NI vs OCF)) as receivables rose.

What is STZ's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

STZ's 12-month base price target is $135.04 (range $105.33 to $177.03), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.