Vail Resorts Inc. (MTN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$154.53 +1.70% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Vail Resorts Inc. (MTN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.51B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target
$185 Bull$157 Base$122 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
44% PutsMax Pain: $151.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
57.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
1.56>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE80% OF RANGE
L: $119$154.53H: $163
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (41% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on MTN

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

22.1% ROIC with 41.0% gross margin and 7.65% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 1.56 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (60)

Put/Call 0.77x with 22/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MTN
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
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Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live MTN Tape Review)

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MTN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.38%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $156.7H $156.7L $150.8C $151.8VOL 432.9K
RES: $155.0SUP: $133.0SMA50: $143.3SMA200: $138.2
$163.3$151.6$139.8$128.0$116.2RES $155.0SUP $133.0$151.82026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MTN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MTN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

MTN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell MTN stock right now?

Vail Resorts Inc. (MTN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 41% profit margin (22% return on capital), mixed timing at 19x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is MTN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MTN's 12-month base price target is $156.62 (range $122.16 to $184.81), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.