Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$81.80 +4.10% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) receives a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (64/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+200.0% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.98B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510064
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (17)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$135 Bull$84 Base$66 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:64% Call Buyers ($2.9M)
36% PutsMax Pain: $80.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
45.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
4.26>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
9 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE26% OF RANGE
L: $65$81.80H: $128
1. Money & Cash Health● RED FLAG
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Warning: Paper profits outpaced real cash collected while unpaid invoices rose—classic earnings quality red flag.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Our SEC fine-print scanner flagged elevated accounting or executive-hedging risk combined with interest-rate headwinds.

Factor Grade: DRQD 33 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on MRCY

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

14.9% ROIC with 62.0% gross margin and 3.99% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (36)

Flagged cash-conversion divergence or elevated filing risk disclosures.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (65)

Put/Call 0.56x with 22/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MRCY
  • ✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Headline earnings grew much faster than real operating cash flow—watch out for profit revisions.
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring MRCY)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of MRCY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
MRCY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.74%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $79.73H $81.58L $76.22C $77.54VOL 543.6K
RES: $92.29SUP: $66.68SMA50: $81.97SMA200: $91.63
$132.4$115.9$99.46$82.98$66.49RES $92.29SUP $66.68$77.542026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MRCY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +52.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MRCY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MRCY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MRCY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

MRCY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell MRCY stock right now?

Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. Accounting Warning: Paper earnings outpaced operating cash flow (+200.0% (NI vs OCF)) as receivables rose.

What is MRCY's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MRCY's 12-month base price target is $84.01 (range $65.53 to $134.87), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.