Li Auto Inc. (LI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$11.14 -2.19% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Li Auto Inc. (LI) receives a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (54/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+120.0% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $10.89B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (3)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (17)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$22 Bull$11 Base$9 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:50% Call Buyers ($2.2M)
50% PutsMax Pain: $11.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
42.730 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
1.78>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
2 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE5% OF RANGE
L: $11$11.14H: $21
1. Money & Cash Health● RED FLAG
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Warning: Paper profits outpaced real cash collected while unpaid invoices rose—classic earnings quality red flag.

Factor Grade: ERQD 2 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Our SEC fine-print scanner flagged elevated accounting or executive-hedging risk combined with interest-rate headwinds.

Factor Grade: DRQD 30 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on LI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (15)

-2.1% ROIC with 18.7% gross margin and -17.95% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (36)

Flagged cash-conversion divergence or elevated filing risk disclosures.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (65)

Put/Call 1.01x with 22/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like LI
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Headline earnings grew much faster than real operating cash flow—watch out for profit revisions.
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring LI)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of LI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
LI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.14%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $11.02H $11.06L $10.92C $11.03VOL 1.88M
RES: $11.85SUP: $9.75SMA50: $11.66SMA200: $14.83
$21.22$18.36$15.50$12.63$9.77RES $11.85SUP $9.75$11.032026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -18.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

LI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell LI stock right now?

Li Auto Inc. (LI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 54/100 RQD Confidence. Accounting Warning: Paper earnings outpaced operating cash flow (+120.0% (NI vs OCF)) as receivables rose.

What is LI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

LI's 12-month base price target is $10.94 (range $8.53 to $22), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.