Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$136.39 +0.87% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) receives a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (72/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+184.2% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $6.38B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510072
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D
Cash (17)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (17)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$294 Bull$145 Base$112 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:54% Call Buyers ($2.4M)
46% PutsMax Pain: $134.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
39.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
7.42>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE25% OF RANGE
L: $88$136.39H: $280
1. Money & Cash Health● RED FLAG
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Warning: Paper profits outpaced real cash collected while unpaid invoices rose—classic earnings quality red flag.

Factor Grade: DRQD 17 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Our SEC fine-print scanner flagged elevated accounting or executive-hedging risk combined with interest-rate headwinds.

Factor Grade: DRQD 33 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on DUOL

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (85)

18.4% ROIC with 72.2% gross margin and 5.79% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (36)

Flagged cash-conversion divergence or elevated filing risk disclosures.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (65)

Put/Call 0.84x with 22/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DUOL
  • ✓Strong cash generator (72% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Headline earnings grew much faster than real operating cash flow—watch out for profit revisions.
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring DUOL)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of DUOL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
DUOL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.52%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $135.2H $135.4L $130.7C $131.6VOL 776.8K
RES: $190.9SUP: $124.7SMA50: $145.2SMA200: $123.9
$219.0$186.3$153.7$121.0$88.36RES $190.9SUP $124.7$131.62026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DUOL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
7.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +38.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DUOL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DUOL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DUOL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DUOL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell DUOL stock right now?

Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. Accounting Warning: Paper earnings outpaced operating cash flow (+184.2% (NI vs OCF)) as receivables rose.

What is DUOL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

DUOL's 12-month base price target is $144.98 (range $111.84 to $293.98), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.