BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$2.67 +8.54% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) receives a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (56/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+10.7% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.29B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (3)Whales (11)SEC (8)Macro (17)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.7% Base Target
$8 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:70% Call Buyers ($3.1M)
30% PutsMax Pain: $3.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
56.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.92>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE11% OF RANGE
L: $2$2.67H: $7
1. Money & Cash Health● RED FLAG
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Warning: Paper profits outpaced real cash collected while unpaid invoices rose—classic earnings quality red flag.

Factor Grade: ERQD 3 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 23 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Our SEC fine-print scanner flagged elevated accounting or executive-hedging risk combined with interest-rate headwinds.

Factor Grade: DRQD 30 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on BBAI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (15)

-27.5% ROIC with 22.3% gross margin and -3.30% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (36)

Flagged cash-conversion divergence or elevated filing risk disclosures.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (67)

Put/Call 0.43x with 23/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BBAI
  • ✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Headline earnings grew much faster than real operating cash flow—watch out for profit revisions.
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring BBAI)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of BBAI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
BBAI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.67%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $2.54H $2.65L $2.52C $2.60VOL 26.03M
RES: $2.45SUP: $1.89SMA50: $2.67SMA200: $3.61
$5.83$4.81$3.79$2.77$1.75RES $2.45SUP $1.89$2.602026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BBAI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -19.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BBAI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BBAI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BBAI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

BBAI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell BBAI stock right now?

BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 56/100 RQD Confidence. Accounting Warning: Paper earnings outpaced operating cash flow (+10.7% (NI vs OCF)) as receivables rose.

What is BBAI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BBAI's 12-month base price target is $2.65 (range $2.07 to $7.77), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.