AXT Inc (AXTI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$60.88 -5.44% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

AXT Inc (AXTI) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.99B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (9)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$150 Bull$62 Base$48 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:49% Call Buyers ($2.2M)
51% PutsMax Pain: $60.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
42.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
24.42>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE39% OF RANGE
L: $8$60.88H: $143
1. Money & Cash Health● RED FLAG
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on AXTI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

-5.4% ROIC with 12.7% gross margin and -0.47% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 24.42 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (60)

Put/Call 1.03x with 22/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AXTI
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Trading Systems Desk

Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live AXTI Tape Review)

  • ✓Live breakdown of today’s highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts
  • ✓1 urgent Red-Light accounting trap to cut from your watchlist immediately
  • ✓Bring any ticker to live Q&A—we run it through the 5-Pillar RQD Radar on screen
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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AXTI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.50%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $57.28H $58.84L $50.96C $55.06VOL 14.73M
RES: $83.51SUP: $49.84SMA50: $66.26SMA200: $64.86
$151.7$116.3$80.88$45.47$10.06RES $83.51SUP $49.84$55.062026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AXTI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -11.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AXTI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AXTI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AXTI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

AXTI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell AXTI stock right now?

AXT Inc (AXTI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 13% profit margin (-5% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is AXTI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AXTI's 12-month base price target is $61.7 (range $48.13 to $150.32), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.