American Water Works Company Inc. (AWK) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$142.21 +1.73% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

American Water Works Company Inc. (AWK) receives a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (57/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+5.0% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $28.31B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target
$167 Bull$142 Base$110 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:59% Call Buyers ($3.0M)
41% PutsMax Pain: $139.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
68.530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
1.33>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE83% OF RANGE
L: $121$142.21H: $147
1. Money & Cash Health● RED FLAG
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Warning: Paper profits outpaced real cash collected while unpaid invoices rose—classic earnings quality red flag.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Our SEC fine-print scanner flagged elevated accounting or executive-hedging risk combined with interest-rate headwinds.

Factor Grade: DRQD 29 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on AWK

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (30)

8.3% ROIC with 41.0% gross margin and -3.77% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (36)

Flagged cash-conversion divergence or elevated filing risk disclosures.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (63)

Put/Call 0.69x with 22/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AWK
  • ✓Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Headline earnings grew much faster than real operating cash flow—watch out for profit revisions.
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring AWK)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of AWK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
AWK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.42%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $145.0H $146.6L $143.9C $144.4VOL 2.09M
RES: $143.8SUP: $125.6SMA50: $135.6SMA200: $132.4
$148.4$140.9$133.3$125.8$118.2RES $143.8SUP $125.6$144.42026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AWK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
19.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AWK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AWK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AWK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

AWK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell AWK stock right now?

American Water Works Company Inc. (AWK) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 57/100 RQD Confidence. Accounting Warning: Paper earnings outpaced operating cash flow (+5.0% (NI vs OCF)) as receivables rose.

What is AWK's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AWK's 12-month base price target is $141.57 (range $110.42 to $167.05), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.