Alaska Air Group Inc. (ALK) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$36.15 +1.60% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Alaska Air Group Inc. (ALK) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.03B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B+
Cash (10)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$64 Bull$37 Base$29 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:55% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
45% PutsMax Pain: $35.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
4330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
1.15>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE13% OF RANGE
L: $32$36.15H: $61
1. Money & Cash Health● RED FLAG
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 32 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on ALK

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

2.9% ROIC with 41.0% gross margin and 15.08% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 1.15 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (63)

Put/Call 0.81x with 22/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ALK
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Priced at 40x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Trading Systems Desk

Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live ALK Tape Review)

  • ✓Live breakdown of today’s highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts
  • ✓1 urgent Red-Light accounting trap to cut from your watchlist immediately
  • ✓Bring any ticker to live Q&A—we run it through the 5-Pillar RQD Radar on screen
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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ALK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.69%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $35.23H $35.85L $34.48C $35.71VOL 2.98M
RES: $52.09SUP: $31.30SMA50: $39.11SMA200: $44.02
$55.86$49.48$43.11$36.73$30.35RES $52.09SUP $31.30$35.712026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
30.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +21.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

ALK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ALK stock right now?

Alaska Air Group Inc. (ALK) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 41% profit margin (3% return on capital), mixed timing at 40x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is ALK's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ALK's 12-month base price target is $37.13 (range $28.96 to $63.66), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.