Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$167.40 -1.60% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh money.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $21.00B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (14)Whales (9)SEC (8)Macro (7)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$198 Bull$167 Base$131 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:48% Call Buyers ($2.2M)
52% PutsMax Pain: $167.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
45.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
4.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE49% OF RANGE
L: $147$167.40H: $188
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (58% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● SELLING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on XLI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (70)

19.5% ROIC with 58.0% gross margin and 3.40% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (36)

Flagged cash-conversion divergence or elevated filing risk disclosures.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (47)

Put/Call 1.08x with 21/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like XLI
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring XLI)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of XLI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
XLI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.11%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $169.0H $170.2L $166.7C $167.4VOL 10.80M
RES: $198.7SUP: $159.6SMA50: $170.7SMA200: $173.3
$190.2$181.8$173.5$165.1$156.8RES $198.7SUP $159.6$167.42026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XLI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XLI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XLI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XLI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

XLI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell XLI stock right now?

Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 58/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 22x P/E (20% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is XLI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

XLI's 12-month base price target is $167.4 (range $130.57 to $197.6), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.