Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc. (CON) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$41.25 +1.63% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc. (CON) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.26B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C+
Cash (15)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (11)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$50 Bull$42 Base$33 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:55% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
45% PutsMax Pain: $40.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
65.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.53>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE99% OF RANGE
L: $19$41.25H: $42
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (41% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on CON

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (75)

19.7% ROIC with 41.0% gross margin and 3.75% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 2.53 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (55)

Put/Call 0.82x with 22/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CON
  • ✓Strong cash generator (41% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Trading Systems Desk

Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live CON Tape Review)

  • ✓Live breakdown of today’s highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts
  • ✓1 urgent Red-Light accounting trap to cut from your watchlist immediately
  • ✓Bring any ticker to live Q&A—we run it through the 5-Pillar RQD Radar on screen
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
CON // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +79.71%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $41.45H $41.52L $40.32C $40.38VOL 989.9K
RES: $41.85SUP: $36.16SMA50: $36.32SMA200: $28.50
$42.93$37.08$31.22$25.37$19.51RES $41.85SUP $36.16$40.382026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CON Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
24.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CON today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CON. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CON today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

CON Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CON stock right now?

Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc. (CON) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 41% profit margin (20% return on capital), mixed timing at 32x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is CON's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CON's 12-month base price target is $42.36 (range $33.04 to $49.98), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.