Axsome Therapeutics Inc. (AXSM) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$143.45 -0.04% NASDAQ β€’ Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Axsome Therapeutics Inc. (AXSM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh money.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $7.51B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510058
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk B
Cash (7)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$273 Bull$143 Base$112 Bear
πŸ”΄ SUNDAY NIGHT PREP β€’ 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:54% Call Buyers ($2.4M)
46% PutsMax Pain: $141.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)
24.330 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
5.34>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE15% OF RANGE
L: $124$143.45H: $260
1. Money & Cash Health● RED FLAG
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on AXSM

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (35)

-21.9% ROIC with 41.0% gross margin and -1.25% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (36)

Flagged cash-conversion divergence or elevated filing risk disclosures.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (58)

Put/Call 0.86x with 22/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AXSM
  • βœ“Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
πŸ”΄ SUNDAY NIGHT PREP β€’ 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring AXSM)

  • βœ“Live walkthrough of AXSM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
AXSM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.48%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $143.2H $146.2L $131.3C $144.4VOL 2.17M
RES: $211.2SUP: $138.1SMA50: $184.8SMA200: $199.3
$269.2$231.8$194.4$157.0$119.7RES $211.2SUP $138.1$144.42026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AXSM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
27.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +65.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AXSM today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AXSM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AXSM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’

AXSM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell AXSM stock right now?

Axsome Therapeutics Inc. (AXSM) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell β€” SELL) with 58/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-22% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is AXSM's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AXSM's 12-month base price target is $143.45 (range $111.89 to $273.2), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.